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LH

LABCORP HOLDINGS INC. (LH)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue grew 9.8% to $3.33B; adjusted EPS rose 5% to $3.45, while adjusted operating margin contracted 40 bps as expected due to Invitae dilution .
  • Diagnostics Laboratories and Biopharma Laboratory Services both delivered ~10% revenue growth; Diagnostics volume +6.8% and price/mix +3.4% drove breadth, while Biopharma margin expanded 140 bps to 17.0% .
  • 2025 guidance targets 6.7–8.0% enterprise revenue growth, adjusted EPS of $15.60–$16.40, and FCF of $1.10–$1.25B; management expects margin expansion in both segments, with Invitae slightly accretive for the full year (2H accretive) .
  • Potential stock reaction catalysts: clear path to margin expansion (LaunchPad savings, Invitae tailwind in 2H), strong backlog conversion ($2.53B NTM), resilient diagnostics demand, and specialty/oncology test launches (MS monitoring, H5 bird flu, companion Dx) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Diagnostics revenue +10.2% y/y to $2.59B; total volume +6.8% and price/mix +3.4% drove strength; AOI up to $359.5M (13.9% margin), with gains from organic demand and lab management agreements .
  • Biopharma revenue +10.4% y/y to $767.0M; AOI up to $130.8M and margin +140 bps to 17.0% on organic demand and LaunchPad savings; backlog remains robust at $7.99B, with $2.53B expected to convert in the next 12 months .
  • Strong cash generation: operating cash flow from continuing ops $777.2M and FCF $665.1M in Q4; CEO underscored momentum and confidence entering 2025 (“well positioned for continued growth”) .

What Went Wrong

  • Adjusted operating margin fell 40 bps to 12.7% (enterprise) due to Invitae; Diagnostics AOI margin -120 bps from Invitae plus unfavorable days and weather; management quantified ~$0.10 EPS weather impact embedded in Q1 2025 assumptions .
  • Higher adjusted tax rate: 22.4% in Q4 vs. 19.5% last year; 2025 adjusted tax rate guided to ~23%, reflecting geographic mix .
  • FX headwinds baked into 2025: enterprise ~50 bps, Diagnostics ~20 bps, Biopharma ~140 bps; Biopharma margin expansion pace to moderate vs. 2024 given FX and mix shift .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.03 $3.30 $3.33
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(122.8) $254 $216.5
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$394.9 $441 $423.2
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)13.0% 13.4% 12.7%
Diluted EPS ($)$(1.95) $2.00 $1.70
Adjusted EPS ($)$3.30 $3.50 $3.45
Operating Cash Flow – Continuing Ops ($USD Millions)$579.6 $277 $777.2
Free Cash Flow – Continuing Ops ($USD Millions)$412.4 $162 $665.1

Notes: Q4 revenue +9.8% y/y and adjusted EPS +$0.15 y/y; sequential AOI and margin softened due to Invitae mix and calendar/weather effects .

Segment Breakdown (Non-GAAP)

SegmentMetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Diagnostics LaboratoriesRevenue ($USD Billions)$2.35 $2.60 $2.59
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$353.7 $387 $359.5
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)15.1% 15.2% 13.9%
Biopharma Laboratory ServicesRevenue ($USD Millions)$694.8 $738 $767.0
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$109.0 $121 $130.8
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)15.7% 16.4% 17.0%

KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
Biopharma Backlog ($USD Billions)$8.1 $7.99
TTM Book-to-Bill (x)1.02 1.00
Next 12 Months Forecast Backlog Conversion ($USD Billions)$2.6 $2.53
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Billions)$1.52 (prefunding noted) $1.52
Total Debt ($USD Billions)$6.8 (prefunding) ~$6.33 (LT + current)
Net Debt / TTM Adjusted EBITDA (x)2.4x 2.2x

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Enterprise Revenue Growth (%)FY 2025N/A (first issuance)6.7% to 8.0% N/A
Diagnostics Revenue Growth (%)FY 2025N/A6.5% to 7.7% N/A
Biopharma Revenue Growth (%)FY 2025N/A3.0% to 5.0% N/A
Adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025N/A$15.60 to $16.40 N/A
Free Cash Flow ($USD Billions)FY 2025N/A$1.10 to $1.25 N/A
Adjusted Tax Rate (%)FY 2025N/A~23% N/A
FX Translation AssumptionFY 2025N/AEnterprise ~(0.5%), Diag ~(0.2%), Bio ~(1.4%) N/A
Dividend per Share ($)Declared Jan 8, 2025Prior cadence not disclosed$0.72, payable Mar 12, 2025 Maintained payout cadence

Management additionally guided to margin expansion in both segments in 2025 and embedded ~$0.10 EPS weather impact in Q1 assumptions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Aug)Q3 2024 (Oct)Q4 2024 (Feb)Trend
Margin trajectory / LaunchPadMargins up slightly; LaunchPad $100–$125M offsetting labor; Diagnostics flat due to partner cyber event Underlying margins +120 bps ex Invitae/weather/days; LaunchPad on track Margin expansion expected in 2025; Invitae dilutive 1H, accretive full-year; LaunchPad continues Improving underlying margins; dilution fades in 2H
Invitae integrationAccretive in 2025; >10% top-line growth; first 12 months dilutive ~3% 2024 Invitae -40 bps margin headwind; slightly accretive in 2025; integration tracking Slightly accretive FY25; 2H accretive; cost actions and “best of” MRD assets Integration progressing; accretive tailwind
Diagnostics demand/utilizationOrganic base growth 4.5%; specialty focus; lab managed agreements drive mix Volume/mix strength; esoteric faster than routine; share gains near hospital deals Volume +6.8%, price/mix +3.4%; balanced growth (half organic, half acquisitions) Sustained, above historic utilization
Biopharma orders/backlogED soft; Central Labs +9%; backlog $7.9B; TTM B2B 1.00 ED sequential improvement; backlog $8.1B; TTM B2B 1.02 Backlog $7.99B; NTM conversion $2.53B; quarterly B2B ~1.17; FX headwind in 2025 Healthy pipeline; FX headwinds manageable
Regulatory (PAMA/LDT)Support SALSA; LDT rule challenge; limited financial impact; patient access concern PAMA delay in 2025; base case assumes PAMA in 2026 LDT cost manageable; base case assumes PAMA 2026; working with trade orgs Advocacy continues; limited near-term P&L impact
Tech/data productsGlobal Trial Connect launched; expanding precision oncology portfolio Order-tracking visibility; Ovia Health expansion Diagnostic Assistant “Smart trends”; Global Trial Connect enhancements Ongoing digital enablement

Management Commentary

  • “In 2025, we are positioned to deliver strong growth and margin expansion across both Diagnostics Laboratories and Biopharma Laboratory Services” — Adam Schechter, CEO .
  • “Adjusted operating income was primarily due to organic demand and LaunchPad savings, partially offset by higher personnel costs” — Company release .
  • “We expect Invitae to be slightly accretive… dilutive to margins in the first half… accretive in the second half” — Adam Schechter .
  • “Our guidance range for adjusted EPS is $15.60 to $16.40… free cash flow $1.1B to $1.25B” — Julia Wang, CFO .
  • “Diagnostics margin was down due to Invitae and the unfavorable impact of days and weather” — Julia Wang .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin cadence: Core Diagnostics margins would have increased ~50 bps ex Invitae/weather/days; tailwinds expected in 2025 from calendar and Invitae accretion in 2H .
  • Biopharma outlook: Central Labs solid; ED to grow y/y from Q4; 2025 Biopharma 3–5% growth with 140 bps FX headwind; Q1 is lowest margin quarter seasonally .
  • Capital allocation/M&A: Healthy pipeline focused on hospital/regional labs; leverage ~2.2x; ~$1.3B buyback authorization outstanding .
  • Diagnostics organic/inorganic split: 2025 Diagnostics growth balanced—~3.5% organic and ~3.5% from 2024 acquisitions; esoteric segments (oncology, women’s health, neurology, autoimmune) outgrow routine .
  • Weather impact: ~$0.10 EPS impact built into Q1 guidance; calendar largely neutral for FY25 with one less revenue day offset by one less payroll day .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable during this session; comparisons to estimates could not be performed. Values were intended to be retrieved from S&P Global but were not accessible due to request limits.
  • Given lack of consensus data, we do not assess beats/misses. We note results featured y/y revenue growth (+9.8%), adjusted EPS up 5%, and segment margins mixed (Diagnostics down due to Invitae; Biopharma up 140 bps), which may prompt estimate revisions focused on 2025 margin expansion trajectory .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Diagnostics growth breadth and durable demand, plus specialty/oncology expansion, underpin 2025 top-line with balanced organic/inorganic contribution; watch for continued market share gains linked to hospital partnerships .
  • Margin story improves through 2025: LaunchPad savings, easing Invitae dilution (2H accretive), and calendar tailwinds support enterprise margin expansion; FX remains a manageable headwind .
  • Biopharma backlog supports visibility; ED recovery underway; monitor book-to-bill and NTM conversion ($2.53B) to gauge throughput and pricing dynamics .
  • Strong cash generation and flexible balance sheet (2.2x net leverage) enable ongoing M&A (hospital/regional labs, oncology assets) and buybacks; dividend maintained ($0.72) .
  • Regulatory backdrop (LDT, PAMA) appears limited for near-term P&L; base case assumes PAMA in 2026; incremental upside if delayed again .
  • Near-term trading: narrative likely centers on 2025 margin expansion credibility and Invitae accretion timing; mid-term thesis: diagnostics scale plus specialty mix, disciplined M&A and biopharma resilience support EPS and FCF compounding .

Additional Press Releases Relevant to the Period

  • Liquid biopsy expansion: Labcorp Plasma Complete (ctDNA-based comprehensive genomic profiling) clinical availability announced Feb 24, 2025, enhancing oncology portfolio .
  • Oncology asset acquisition: Agreement to acquire select BioReference Health oncology testing assets (~$85–$100M annual revenue; up to $225M purchase price), expected accretive in year one .